Alcorcón vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
RAY
2 - 1
ALC
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAR
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
1 - 2
ALC
7%
19%
74%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
UDL
0 - 0
ALC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SAB
1 - 1
ALC
25%
29%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ZAR
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
GIM
0 - 2
ZAR
5%
14%
81%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
ZAR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |