Alcorcón vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 0
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
GIM
49%
28%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATH
65%
23%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 4
VAD
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MLL
1 - 0
OVI
39%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OVI
3 - 0
ELC
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GIR
1 - 1
OVI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 0
CDT
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |