Alcorcón vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
ALC
27%
29%
45%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 0
ALC
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 3
RAC
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
RMC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LEG
0 - 2
ALC
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OVI
3 - 1
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ULP
3 - 0
OVI
51%
28%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OVI
2 - 0
LAN
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 2
OVI
50%
27%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
OVI
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |