Alcorcón vs Real Murcia analysis

Alcorcón Real Murcia
77 ELO 68
0.8% Tilt -12.5%
1393º General ELO ranking 1563º
53º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
61.7%
Alcorcón
22.5%
Draw
15.8%
Real Murcia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
Alcorcón
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.8%
Win probability
Real Murcia
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcorcón
-5%
+5%
Real Murcia

ELO progression

Alcorcón
Real Murcia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcorcón
Alcorcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2012
GIR
Girona
0 - 0
Alcorcón
ALC
33%
28%
39%
77 67 10 0
21 Apr. 2012
ALC
Alcorcón
2 - 0
Córdoba CF
CCF
50%
25%
25%
77 75 2 0
15 Apr. 2012
GIM
Gimnàstic Tarragona
0 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
27%
29%
44%
76 65 11 +1
07 Apr. 2012
ALC
Alcorcón
2 - 1
Alcoyano
ALC
74%
18%
8%
76 60 16 0
31 Mar. 2012
GUA
CD Guadalajara
1 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
24%
28%
48%
75 61 14 +1

Matches

Real Murcia
Real Murcia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2012
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 0
CE Sabadell
SAB
64%
21%
14%
69 62 7 0
22 Apr. 2012
FCB
Barça Atlètic
1 - 0
Real Murcia
MUR
67%
19%
14%
69 75 6 0
14 Apr. 2012
MUR
Real Murcia
2 - 6
Hércules
HER
34%
30%
36%
70 78 8 -1
08 Apr. 2012
DEP
RC Deportivo
3 - 1
Real Murcia
MUR
72%
19%
10%
70 85 15 0
31 Mar. 2012
MUR
Real Murcia
2 - 1
FC Cartagena
CAR
62%
23%
15%
69 63 6 +1