Alcorcón vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
CCF
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 2
ALC
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
ALC
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAB
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 6
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |