Alcorcón vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
RMC
1 - 1
ALC
84%
12%
3%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
ALC
1 - 4
FUE
20%
26%
54%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
CDV
2 - 0
ALC
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
ALC
1 - 2
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
COL
3 - 1
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
ARA
5 - 0
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
EPA
4 - 1
ARA
16%
26%
58%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -4 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
ARA
4 - 0
MEX
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
CDC
2 - 2
ARA
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
RVB
0 - 0
ARA
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |