Alcorcón vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
58.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
HUE
1 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
CUL
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
OSA
30%
31%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 2
CCF
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
RAY
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
RAY
3 - 1
CDT
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 3
RAY
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 1
ZAR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |