Alcorcón vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
RMC
3 - 1
ALC
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
DEP
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FUE
1 - 1
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
PPJ
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RSI
3 - 2
ALC
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
RAY
2 - 1
UDF
70%
21%
9%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LAN
1 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RAY
2 - 2
LUG
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CDO
0 - 1
RAY
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RAY
3 - 1
VEC
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |