Alcorcón vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CCF
1 - 3
ALC
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VAD
2 - 0
ALC
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
MLL
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
VAD
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MLL
1 - 0
PON
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PON
2 - 0
ELC
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
OVI
3 - 1
PON
26%
26%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
PON
2 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |