Alcorcón vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 2
ALC
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HUE
0 - 1
ALC
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 1
ELC
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
RAC
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 0
XER
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |