Alcorcón vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
LEV
4 - 0
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
ALM
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
LEV
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 1
SAB
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
NUM
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
37%
28%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUM
66%
21%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |