Alcorcón vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
ADP
0 - 0
ALC
80%
15%
5%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
ALC
0 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALC
77%
16%
8%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
ALC
1 - 2
UBC
41%
28%
31%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
ALC
2 - 1
TAL
24%
27%
49%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
LEG
3 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
5%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
MAN
1 - 1
ADP
33%
31%
36%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
MAN
5 - 0
VAL
41%
27%
33%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
MAN
1 - 1
UBC
39%
29%
32%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |