Alcorcón vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ACF
2 - 1
ALC
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 0
SAL
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LPA
4 - 1
ALC
41%
24%
36%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 3
TAL
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 0
GUA
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
MAN
1 - 0
CIE
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAN
3 - 2
TCF
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALB
47%
30%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |