Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
26.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ELC
3 - 1
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDT
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MAJ
2 - 0
ALC
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 2
ALC
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
UDL
24%
28%
48%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 3
ALB
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAD
1 - 1
LUG
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
REU
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
OVI
1 - 1
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
2 - 2
ELC
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |