Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VAD
4 - 0
ALC
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CCF
3 - 0
ALC
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 2
GRA
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CDT
4 - 0
ALC
55%
27%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
FCB
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 0
CCF
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDT
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 2
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |