Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 1
SAB
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CCF
3 - 1
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
UDL
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 2
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 0
PON
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
MLL
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |