Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
RCF
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ALC
3 - 1
COM
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PPJ
0 - 0
ALC
51%
27%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 2
COB
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 2
GIM
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PUE
0 - 0
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
CDO
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAY
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ULP
4 - 0
LUG
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |