Alcorcón vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
IMP
1 - 0
ALC
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LOR
3 - 3
ALC
25%
28%
48%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CDO
1 - 0
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALC
3 - 0
VEC
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 2
AGU
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
ULP
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
IMP
2 - 1
LOR
21%
28%
51%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AGD
0 - 2
LOR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
BET
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |