Alcorcón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
ALC
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
ELC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
HER
18%
26%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
21%
25%
55%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 5
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |