Segunda Play-Offs First-leg Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Alcorcón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
SAB
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 2
HER
27%
29%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
XER
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 5
HER
16%
27%
57%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |