Alcorcón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
ALC
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
ALC
35%
28%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
HUE
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
XER
2 - 2
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
SAB
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 1
HER
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
37%
30%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 4
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HER
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |