Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Alcorcón vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 0
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
RMC
4 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 3
LEG
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
23%
30%
47%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
PUE
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 0
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CFB
0 - 1
GRA
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
IMP
0 - 1
GRA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |