Alcorcón vs Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CCF
0 - 0
ALC
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
GET
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
MLL
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
SPO
24%
29%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 3
GRA
15%
24%
61%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
EXT
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
EXT
0 - 1
DEP
11%
21%
67%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
OVI
1 - 1
EXT
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 1
EXT
87%
10%
3%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |