Alcorcón vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALC
54%
27%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIR
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CCF
3 - 1
ALC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 1
GIM
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
26%
30%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 1
SAB
76%
18%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 1
CEL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 1
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
CEL
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |