Alcorcón vs Celta Fortuna analysis

Alcorcón Celta Fortuna
62 ELO 61
-9.5% Tilt -9%
1436º General ELO ranking 1362º
53º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
41.8%
Alcorcón
27.6%
Draw
30.6%
Celta Fortuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
Alcorcón
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.6%
Win probability
Celta Fortuna
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcorcón
-6%
-5%
Celta Fortuna

Points and table prediction

Alcorcón
Their league position
Celta Fortuna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
11º
59
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Racing Ferrol
75
75
100%
Alcorcón
74
74
100%
RM Castilla
69
69
100%
RC Deportivo
67
67
100%
Celta Fortuna
59
59
0%
Linares Deportivo
59
59
0%
Unionistas CF
56
56
100%
Córdoba CF
54
54
0%
AD Mérida
54
54
0%
Cultural Leonesa
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Fuenlabrada
11º
46
46
11º
100%
AD Ceuta FC
12º
45
45
12º
0%
San Fernando CD
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Rayo Majadahonda
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Algeciras CF
15º
44
44
15º
100%
UD Sanse
17º
43
43
16º
0%
CD Badajoz
16º
43
43
17º
0%
RB Linense
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Pontevedra
19º
36
36
19º
100%
CF Talavera
20º
33
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Alcorcón
Celta Fortuna
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Alcorcón
Celta Fortuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcorcón
Alcorcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
PON
Pontevedra
1 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
28%
28%
44%
63 55 8 0
20 Aug. 2022
LEG
Leganés B
1 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
12%
21%
67%
63 45 18 0
17 Aug. 2022
ALC
Alcorcón
0 - 0
Atlético Baleares
ATB
42%
26%
33%
63 64 1 0
13 Aug. 2022
TAL
CF Talavera
0 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
25%
24%
51%
63 53 10 0
10 Aug. 2022
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
26%
26%
48%
63 56 7 0

Matches

Celta Fortuna
Celta Fortuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
CEL
Celta Fortuna
1 - 2
UD Sanse
SSR
64%
21%
15%
62 56 6 0
18 Aug. 2022
CEL
Celta Fortuna
3 - 0
Arenteiro
ARE
81%
14%
6%
62 47 15 0
13 Aug. 2022
CEL
Celta Fortuna
5 - 3
Coruxo
COX
73%
17%
10%
62 50 12 0
06 Aug. 2022
PON
Pontevedra
2 - 1
Celta Fortuna
CEL
28%
24%
48%
62 55 7 0
03 Aug. 2022
COM
SD Compostela
0 - 1
Celta Fortuna
CEL
13%
20%
68%
62 44 18 0