Alcorcón vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SSR
1 - 2
ALC
53%
27%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATB
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LEG
3 - 1
ALC
47%
28%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
ULP
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
UDF
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 0
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 1
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CDO
1 - 1
CEL
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
VEC
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |