Alcorcón vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 1
AVI
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
UPL
3 - 1
ALC
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 1
ALC
71%
17%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
COR
2 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 0
CEL
49%
27%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CEL
0 - 0
CDO
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 0
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |