Alcorcón vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
XER
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
SLA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GIR
3 - 1
ALC
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
HUE
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAR
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
CDT
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CCF
2 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
NUM
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |