Alcorcón U19 vs CD Móstoles U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
16º
15º
22
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LRZ
3 - 2
ALC
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
1 - 2
RCA
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
3 - 2
VAD
9%
17%
75%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +3 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
RMA
5 - 0
ALC
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
ALC
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 1
VAD
11%
18%
72%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RMA
4 - 0
MOS
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 1
BCF
8%
15%
76%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GET
2 - 0
MOS
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 1
MOS
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | 0 |