ACV Assen vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ACV
1 - 0
ORA
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
APE
2 - 2
ACV
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ACV
1 - 0
DOV
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SDC
1 - 3
ACV
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
SDV
1 - 2
ACV
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
SPA
4 - 2
USV
34%
24%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
USV
2 - 1
SPA
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
USV
4 - 0
OOS
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 2
USV
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
USV
3 - 0
OJC
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |