ACV Assen vs PKC .83 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GOA
2 - 1
ACV
37%
24%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
HHC
2 - 1
ACV
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ACV
1 - 0
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
DET
2 - 0
ACV
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BEQ
4 - 0
ACV
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
PKC
2 - 0
STA
30%
25%
46%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ONS
3 - 2
PKC
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PKC
3 - 5
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |