Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Dunărea Călăraşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
4º
4º
44
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ACP
2 - 1
RGD
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
RGD
0 - 1
GLO
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 0
RGD
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 3
ACP
66%
18%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
GLO
1 - 0
RGD
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
GLO
3 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 0
ACP
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 0
RGD
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 0
GLO
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ACP
0 - 1
DUN
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |