Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Dunărea Călăraşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
4º
4º
44
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RGD
1 - 2
FET
86%
10%
5%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GLO
1 - 3
RGD
33%
22%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RGD
3 - 2
CSM
72%
16%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 2
RGD
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
RGD
2 - 0
IMO
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BOR
0 - 1
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 1
ACP
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 0
FET
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
MBU
1 - 0
DUN
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 0
DUN
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |