Medias 2022 vs Codlea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+165%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
5º
4º
4
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Medias 2022
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 4
MED
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MED
2 - 0
UNI
20%
25%
55%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 2
MED
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
MED
46%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MED
3 - 1
UAI
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Codlea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
CSM
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 1
CIB
11%
16%
74%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
4 - 1
CSM
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CSM
3 - 2
AFC
46%
24%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ACS
7 - 1
CSM
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |