Hayabley vs Gendarmerie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
5º
5º
11
5º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 39 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayabley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ASA
0 - 1
ACS
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 2
POR
25%
19%
56%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
AS7
3 - 1
ACS
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DIK
0 - 1
ACS
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 0
HOP
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gendarmerie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DIK
1 - 1
GEN
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
0 - 1
GUE
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
0 - 2
ASA
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 1
QNT
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |