FC Bacău vs Gloria Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
4º
17
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 28 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 23 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
10º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CSM
0 - 2
ACS
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 1
TII
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 0
ACS
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 2
ACS
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
3 - 1
AER
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 5
BUC
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
5 - 1
RAP
70%
16%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 0
RAP
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
TII
36%
22%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 0
RAP
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |