Ajax Botoroaga vs Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Botoroaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ABO
5 - 3
SRO
13%
18%
70%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
VSE
4 - 2
ALE
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
ALE
6 - 1
SRO
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
CRA
3 - 0
ALE
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 2
FIL
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
UBR
5 - 2
ALE
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |