Acri vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
ACR
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACR
1 - 1
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACR
1 - 0
NIS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NUV
1 - 0
ACR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 2
ACR
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 2
NUV
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NIS
2 - 0
ASD
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 0
CIT
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
ASD
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
2 - 0
ASD
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |