ACR Arcozelo vs Darquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Arcozelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
ARC
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 1
CHA
36%
23%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
FAC
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BER
1 - 3
ARC
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 2
VFR
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Darquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 2
BER
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BER
2 - 2
DAR
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
DAR
0 - 2
VFR
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VIA
0 - 0
DAR
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 3
RAI
19%
22%
60%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |