Acqui vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CUN
1 - 0
ACQ
53%
25%
23%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACQ
1 - 1
ACA
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
DER
0 - 2
ACQ
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ACQ
0 - 0
SET
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SAV
2 - 0
ACQ
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ACD
3 - 0
ALB
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 2
CAS
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ACR
0 - 1
ACD
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACD
0 - 0
VAO
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LAV
0 - 2
ACD
17%
24%
58%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |