Acqui vs Bellinzago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ACQ
1 - 2
SES
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
ACQ
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACQ
2 - 2
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RAB
1 - 2
ACQ
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VAO
1 - 0
ACQ
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 2
CUN
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
BEL
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
BOR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 0
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 4
CHI
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |