Acqui vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACQ
0 - 3
CHI
32%
26%
43%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DER
3 - 0
ACQ
52%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACQ
2 - 0
AST
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
ACQ
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 3
ACQ
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 2
LAV
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 1
FOL
60%
24%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
LAV
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 1
BOG
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 5
LAV
12%
21%
67%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |