Acireale vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 1
ACI
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 3
BAR
6%
20%
73%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 2
ACI
31%
22%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
ACI
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOC
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUR
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAR
9%
22%
70%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |