Acireale vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 0
CCI
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 1
MDR
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 3
ACI
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
6 - 0
ROC
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
0 - 1
MES
40%
28%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
MDR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 1
GEL
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
GEL
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
GEL
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |