Acireale vs Lamezia Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
5º
12º
6º
0
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 75 |
3º
|
88% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 69 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
19º
|
0 | 59 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 31 |
16º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
17º
|
90.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
33.5% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
REG
3 - 1
ACI
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ACI
1 - 0
FCI
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ACI
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 2
ACI
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ACI
1 - 0
CAN
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lamezia Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LAT
4 - 1
CSA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NGI
0 - 0
LAT
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
REG
3 - 0
LAT
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 0
LIC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
USV
1 - 1
LAT
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |