Acireale vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 4
ACI
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ACI
1 - 0
MES
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 2
ACI
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 0
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 1
ACI
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CCI
1 - 0
FCI
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
CCI
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MES
3 - 5
CCI
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 2
BAR
11%
21%
68%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 1
CCI
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |