ACRD Acicatena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
57.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACRD Acicatena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 1
ACA
58%
22%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 3
COM
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 0
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCS
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
MES
1 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
MES
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MES
1 - 0
TUR
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
COM
1 - 0
MES
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MES
1 - 0
ASD
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |