Achuapa vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
8º
29
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
49% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
ACH
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
ACH
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
CHI
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ANT
6 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
XIN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
0 - 1
CHI
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 2
XIN
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
IZT
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
0 - 1
XIN
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |