Achuapa vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
ACH
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
COM
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACH
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 3
ANT
36%
29%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IZT
4 - 1
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
2 - 2
COB
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
0 - 0
SLC
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIX
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
XIN
1 - 1
MIX
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |