Achuapa vs Amatitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TEC
2 - 2
ACH
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 0
UNI
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAY
4 - 0
ACH
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 1
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 0
ACH
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 2
SAC
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TEC
1 - 0
AMA
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |