Achilles 29 vs Hilversum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VVS
3 - 0
ACH
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
0 - 1
ACH
16%
23%
60%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 1
HAA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 4
ACH
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
JVC
1 - 3
ACH
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Hilversum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HIL
2 - 2
HSC
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HIL
0 - 0
WKE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 0
HIL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HIL
1 - 1
QUI
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
HIL
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |